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27 Pages«<2324252627>
Presidential Opinion Polls Tracking - now to 2012
Impunity
#481 Posted : Friday, February 15, 2013 5:34:34 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 16,294
Location: Masada
poundfoolish wrote:
dunkang wrote:
Stolen from Twitter

@ntvkenya
#INFOTRAK: Umaarufu wa wagombea,
Raila 44.6%, Uhuru(42.4), Mudavadi
(4.7), Kenneth(4.4), Karua (1.3), Dida
(0.4),Kiyiapi (0.1), Muite (0.1).


Why is there a difference in the coalition (CORD vs JUBILEE) percentages and individual candidates (RAO vs UK)?


There comes a time when the party is more important than an individual >> George Saitoti (RIP)
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

McReggae
#482 Posted : Friday, February 15, 2013 5:46:17 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 19,227
Location: Nairobi
poundfoolish wrote:
dunkang wrote:
Stolen from Twitter

@ntvkenya
#INFOTRAK: Umaarufu wa wagombea,
Raila 44.6%, Uhuru(42.4), Mudavadi
(4.7), Kenneth(4.4), Karua (1.3), Dida
(0.4),Kiyiapi (0.1), Muite (0.1).


Why is there a difference in the coalition (CORD vs JUBILEE) percentages and individual candidates (RAO vs UK)?


That should be obvious bwana pound!!!
...people who strive for popularity tend to lack the strength inside to be themselves.
Much Know
#483 Posted : Friday, February 15, 2013 6:29:12 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 2,141
Impunity wrote:
McReggae wrote:
Infotrak:
After the debate:
CORD: 46%
Jubilee:43%
Amani:4.7%
Eagle:3.8%
Martha

11% changed their minds after the debate: 38% of the to Jubilee, 33% to CORD, 14% to Eagle


OAR is not liking this, at all.

Now guess what Ipsos will bring!~
Sad Sad

I guess ipsos is the big news in waiting, in other words, the truth from a properly conducted scientific opinion poll! I give Uhuru 49% on ipsos, anyone wanna bet?
harrydre
#484 Posted : Friday, February 15, 2013 7:01:56 PM
Rank: Warrior


Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 3,558
Location: kanjo
Ambitho trying too hard to dismiss the small percentage that changed their mind...well let's look at the trend going back 3 months ago...in 2 weeks time itakuwa 60/40
Don't watch the clock; do what it does. Move on!(Keep going)
Sam Levenson



jaggernaut
#485 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 7:17:04 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 10/9/2008
Posts: 3,074
Latest Synovate poll commissioned by Cord TV:

Uhuru 44%
OAR 44%

Party popularity:

Jubilee 45%
Cord 45%

Rink: Citizen 7pm news
Angelica _ann
#486 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 7:20:52 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 2,724
jaggernaut wrote:
Latest Synovate poll commissioned by Cord TV:

Uhuru 44%
OAR 44%

Party popularity:

Jubilee 45%
Cord 45%

Rink: Citizen 7pm news


either way i don't want second round! looks inevitable.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
mawinder
#487 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 7:29:17 PM
Rank: Warrior


Joined: 4/30/2008
Posts: 3,982
Angelica _ann wrote:
jaggernaut wrote:
Latest Synovate poll commissioned by Cord TV:

Uhuru 44%
OAR 44%

Party popularity:

Jubilee 45%
Cord 45%

Rink: Citizen 7pm news


either way i don't want second round! looks inevitable.

Turnout may eliminate run off and give coard a win.
Bigchick
#488 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 7:48:45 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/8/2013
Posts: 1,244
Location: At Large.
I see no run-off.The people in Jubilee strongholds walichukua kura kwa hasira and they have vowed to vote with the same hasira.A good turnout thus guarantees a 60% win for Jubilee round ya kwanza.

13 days to go

Jubilee hoyeeeeeee
An army of sheep led by a Lion can defeat
an army of Lions led by a sheep........ (borrowed)
Amores
#489 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 8:18:24 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/25/2011
Posts: 1,530
Location: Nrb
Bigchick wrote:
I see no run-off.The people in Jubilee strongholds walichukua kura kwa hasira and they have vowed to vote with the same hasira.A good turnout thus guarantees a 60% win for Jubilee round ya kwanza.

13 days to go

Jubilee hoyeeeeeee



If the polls are to be believed,RAO is losing points kila week? Then by the time we vote,we will be huko 55%,by this time,we have gone to the 2nd debate and RAO will have hanged himself with the ope called land issue and politics of division.

Wapi wana jubilee?


Kura ni kuhesabu watu,sio Uganga smile smile
In whose belly does the spirit of Kwame Nkruma lie?
simonkabz
#490 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 8:29:00 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 3/2/2007
Posts: 6,483
Location: End of the World
RAO is well beyond help. He should have avoided the emotive land issue n silly attacks on jubilee. Rather than gain, he lost support. I pity the old man.
.....UKICHENGWA...TULIA!
mawinder
#491 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 8:37:43 PM
Rank: Warrior


Joined: 4/30/2008
Posts: 3,982
simonkabz wrote:
RAO is well beyond help. He should have avoided the emotive land issue n silly attacks on jubilee. Rather than gain, he lost support. I pity the old man.

He didn't handle the Kalenjin votes well,those were not UMK'S votes.
Amores
#492 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 9:03:48 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/25/2011
Posts: 1,530
Location: Nrb
mawinder wrote:
simonkabz wrote:
RAO is well beyond help. He should have avoided the emotive land issue n silly attacks on jubilee. Rather than gain, he lost support. I pity the old man.

He didn't handle the Kalenjin votes well,those were not UMK'S votes.


How should he have handled them?
Mawinder wwewe ume-defect ?
In whose belly does the spirit of Kwame Nkruma lie?
mawinder
#493 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 9:20:43 PM
Rank: Warrior


Joined: 4/30/2008
Posts: 3,982
Amores wrote:
mawinder wrote:
simonkabz wrote:
RAO is well beyond help. He should have avoided the emotive land issue n silly attacks on jubilee. Rather than gain, he lost support. I pity the old man.

He didn't handle the Kalenjin votes well,those were not UMK'S votes.


How should he have handled them?
Mawinder wwewe ume-defect ?

He should have ensured there is a strong presidential candidate from Rift valley.He could even have funded the candidate heavily,this would have ensured a run off and with a run off it is obvious coard would have won.I am still Jubilee damu.
Amores
#494 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 9:28:52 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/25/2011
Posts: 1,530
Location: Nrb
mawinder wrote:
Amores wrote:
mawinder wrote:
simonkabz wrote:
RAO is well beyond help. He should have avoided the emotive land issue n silly attacks on jubilee. Rather than gain, he lost support. I pity the old man.

He didn't handle the Kalenjin votes well,those were not UMK'S votes.


How should he have handled them?
Mawinder wwewe ume-defect ?

He should have ensured there is a strong presidential candidate from Rift valley.He could even have funded the candidate heavily,this would have ensured a run off and with a run off it is obvious coard would have won.I am still Jubilee damu.


great. I was worried about defections at this stage smile
In whose belly does the spirit of Kwame Nkruma lie?
harrydre
#495 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 9:43:30 PM
Rank: Warrior


Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 3,558
Location: kanjo
seems next week will be 50% vs 40% and the week after somewhere @ 55%. Explains why rigging claims have emerged. interesting times ahead.
Don't watch the clock; do what it does. Move on!(Keep going)
Sam Levenson



Cde Monomotapa
#496 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 9:46:13 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,363
yekeyeke
#497 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 10:03:12 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/4/2008
Posts: 332
Kweli. Now i see what the tyranny of numbers was arguing about. A tiger goes not proclaim its tiglitude. It pounces.

The tyranny of numbers will have ABSOLUTELY NO MERCY.

That is why we hear rigging claims. I have a feeling that COARD will not concede and there COULD be mapambano. But this time round, they will be out-numbered and out-maneuvered.


http://www.kenyan-post.c...t-raila-odinga-and.html

A man who is used to acting in one way never changes. He must come to ruin when the times, in hanging, no longer are in harmony with his ways.

'Oburu Odinga lost the nominations, he refused to concede.

Odinga sister lost the nominations, she refused to concede.

Nyong'o lost the nominations, he refused to concede.

Kajwang lost the nominations, he refused to concede.

The Raila supported their fraud.

When he lost in KANU, He walked out ...

When he lost in Ford-K, he walked out and formed NDP.
Actually, eternal party migrations by the Raila have a pattern. He has always refused to concede a loss.

The pattern is obvious.

As such, recent allegations of rigging camouflage a clear scheme ... He knows he will lose ... He is preparing the ground for protests ... The pattern is obvious ...
But we are telling him in uncertain terms ...

All efforts geared towards tearing this country apart will never work ... We are a responsible nation ... We are more than the tribes that cover this lovely land ... We dream bigger than the rest in the region ... We have the audacity of hope.

The future is brighter than our past ... We will walk that path of peace and we will prevail ... We are sure of where we are headed.'
McReggae
#498 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 10:14:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 19,227
Location: Nairobi
Strategic: Raila 44% Uhuru 43%
Infotrak: Raila 46% Uhuru 44%

.......why quote Ireri's poll only!
...people who strive for popularity tend to lack the strength inside to be themselves.
yekeyeke
#499 Posted : Monday, February 18, 2013 10:16:56 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/4/2008
Posts: 332
Strategic: CORD 44% JUBILEE 44%
Infotrak: CORD 45% JUBILEE 45%
harrydre
#500 Posted : Tuesday, February 19, 2013 2:55:57 AM
Rank: Warrior


Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 3,558
Location: kanjo
yekeyeke wrote:
Strategic: CORD 44% JUBILEE 44%
Infotrak: CORD 45% JUBILEE 45%


of all pollstars, infotrak decides to add oAR 2%. watashangaa!! MN has been right..the polls are cheating oAR especially infotrak.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ufOibxbEmE
Don't watch the clock; do what it does. Move on!(Keep going)
Sam Levenson



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